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  • U.S. Position on Turkey - Lragir.am - Armenia Online
    The reaction of the United States to the policy of Turkey has become different While earlier after Turkey s each turn to Russia and China the United States tried to use their opportunities in politics and the military technical sphere to prevent Turkey s escape from its influence now the United States merely ignores this fact such as in regard to purchase of Chinese arms by Turkey The U S Turkish relations are taking the form of a sinusoid and from time to time small crises happen in their relations In such a mode it is impossible to set up their relations based on the fact that Turkey is a partner Turkey expected the United States and NATO to support the developments in Syria and expected a large scale ground operation in NATO However it was improbable from the very beginning there was no reason for a military intervention in the United States and Washington did not give Ankara a signal confirming these intentions The issue of the U S reaction to Turkey s possible intervention in military conflicts in the regions of the South Caucasus and the Near East as well as other directions according to the expert questioned by us has well defined lines According to the expert Syria s example demonstrated that Turkey cannot dare for a military operation without the U S and NATO participation In any case a military catastrophe would be awaiting Turkey even if its military forces have achieved tangible success Turkey s step would lead it to full international isolation including the Near East and the framework of NATO and At any rate a military catastrophe would await Turkey even if its military forces achieved significant success Turkey s step would lead it to full international isolation including in the Near East and in the framework of NATO and the Western community No single country would be found which would support Turkey in the implementation of this operation The positions of the United States and NATO had a deciding role in the political decisions of Turkey this is obvious As to the South Caucasus there is not a single reliable and a well grounded scenario of Turkey s participation in the military conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan Turkey is interested in the Near East more than in the South Caucasus but the emotional sufferings of the Turks are related to the South Caucasus to a great extent because they consider Azerbaijan a close country and the results of the military conflict of the early 90s unfair In this regard Turkey has other motives and grounds for the South Caucasus In Pentagon in the framework of limited deliberations which were in place it is accepted to rule out Turkey s intervention in the military conflict as well as the military conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan in this situation However one circumstance is mentioned if Azerbaijan has a big defeat Turkey s intervention is possible Besides nobody can limit Turkey s indirect participation in

    Original URL path: http://m.lragir.am/index/eng/1/comments/view/35185 (2016-02-14)
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  • Armenian Government Between Fire and Ice - Lragir.am - Armenia Online
    said the World Bank supports the economic development of Armenia to neutralize the negative effect of the economic recession in Armenia The World Bank has announced to help reduce the dependence of the Armenian economy on the Russian impact and encourages cooperation with Iran Bailey announced that the World Bank is negotiating with the government of Armenia The latter however prefers to silence the negotiations Apparently the Armenian ministers silently

    Original URL path: http://m.lragir.am/index/eng/1/comments/view/35182 (2016-02-14)
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  • PACE and the Armenian Scandal - Lragir.am - Armenia Online
    PACE touched upon the Karabakh province and something else Azerbaijan is in a terrible situation and hardly anyone cares for Azerbaijan but PACE took up its support The shrewd Armenian commentators say that the point is about bribing by the Azerbaijan and some proof has allegedly been found Money has always had an important place If there is money they will feature anywhere including in the pockets of the European members of parliament But is this the point when PACE being a marker of pressure on Russia has decided to join the common goal of freezing Russia The European countries have opportunities to obtain a lot of information from the region of the South Caucasus and no doubt they have preliminary ideas on methods and vectors of the Russian expansion in the region Of course as Armenia keeps in line with Russian ambitions is also important This could not pass unheeded and this very circumstance became Armenia s cliché For a long time now Russia Armenia relations have been colonial or suzerain those of a lackey not institutional In addition the Karabakh province called a republic is being dumped There are moderators in Yerevan to keep this performance going They

    Original URL path: http://m.lragir.am/index/eng/1/comments/view/35178 (2016-02-14)
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  • Is There Armenian Scenario on NATO? - Lragir.am - Armenia Online
    NATO towards Armenia and Azerbaijan 3 rule out an unconditional possibility for Turkey to form in the NATO structures a corresponding policy on Armenia 4 come in touch with the technologies and the educational system of NATO 5 ensure development of relations with not only NATO but also the leading NATO member states as guarantors ruling out NATO hostility against Armenia The Armenian political circles still do not think that there are sufficient possibilities for full implementation of this complementary policy but the principles of complementarism declared earlier envisaged exclusion of objections in terms of cooperation with any country including Turkey It should be noted that unlike Georgia and Azerbaijan the Armenian society has entered into political relations with Western Europe over the past 500 years has the experience of the congress of Berlin in 1878 the Treaty of Brest Litovsk in 1918 the Conference of Potsdam in 1945 the Treaty of Lausanne in 1923 and views the West as a defender of the national interests of Armenia is quite cynical The NATO Armenia relations have always been more realistic than the relations with Georgia The Azerbaijani elite had the opportunity to get more credible information from Turkey on the perspectives of integration of Azerbaijan with NATO Azerbaijan was also quite reserved in regard to the possibility of NATO s participation in the solution of the Karabakh problem though Baku had illusions about this The statement of the officers of the alliance about lack of intentions in NATO to take part in the settlement of the Karabakh issue has determined I Aliyev s attempts to demonstrate the rapprochement with Russia Georgia does not have such an original neighbor as Iran which produces foreign and internal influence on Azerbaijan at a bigger extent than Russia Such neighborhood and difficult relations with Iran result in quite reserved relations between NATO and Azerbaijan Iran fears NATO s expansion in the East and is dealing intensively with the preparation of the anti NATO network of influence in Azerbaijan We think that different demonstrative attempts of Armenia and Azerbaijan especially Georgia with a view to changing the foreign political orientation are not taken seriously in Moscow Washington and Brussels One cannot state that the Western community and the leading think tanks of the West have understood and have a clear picture of the real situation in the South Caucasus the intentions and possibilities of the three countries of the region in foreign policy In addition while in the first years of independence of the countries of the region their policy was more predictable and comprehensible the relations of Russia and the West with them are becoming self defeating as their foreign policy develops The situation in the region is not simplified but complicated In addition the domestic policy factor and the social and political component have an important role in the foreign policy of Georgia Armenia and Azerbaijan The West namely the European Union has big hopes for the increase of the domestic factor in

    Original URL path: http://m.lragir.am/index/eng/1/comments/view/35175 (2016-02-14)
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  • New Armenian-Russian Deal Is Maturing - Lragir.am - Armenia Online
    and studies of different parliamentary committees and it remains unknown to the public how the price of internal consumption is formed and why it doubles on this side of the border The Public Services Regulatory Commission sets the price of gas in Armenia de jure However it is understood that the commission is not independent and it makes its decisions based on political not economic realities The price of gas doubles on this side of the border and no economic justification has ever been presented to the public Suspicious schemes of pricing expenditure and losses are not ruled out in the gas sector as in the case of ENA The Armenian press regularly publishes reports on this Gazprom is the Russian top government s partisan treasury and its Armenian branch office is also part of this logic A lot of experts in Armenia are prone to think that the price of gas on this side of the border is related to this circumstance They say that Gazprom Armenia is a joint Armenian Russian basket in which the major Armenian entrepreneurs have a stake From this point of view it seems more probable that Russia will agree to cut the price of gas at the border than on this side of the border The point is that as in the electricity sector all calculations show that it is possible to cut the gas bills for consumers without changing the price at the border In that case however the basket will suffer However the situation is getting complicated and the Armenian economy has appeared in a situation when it is necessary to take action otherwise the wave has reached big companies and the basket It seems more probable that an attempt is made to implement the same pattern as in the case

    Original URL path: http://m.lragir.am/index/eng/1/comments/view/35173 (2016-02-14)
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  • So Who Will Save Russia? - Lragir.am - Armenia Online
    was premature A year later it will be necessary to prepare the public for the presidential elections therefore it is necessary to bring several foreign political issues to a state of completeness Russia could be handy for this scenario which is giving in and is no longer hiding this Russia is not an empire but a Venice where elites have lost their advantages and need to return to enrichment This is the benchmark for the existence of the Russians and this time there will be no need to cause them to starve Isn t this too much of the Americans for the Russians to lift sanctions in return for pure propaganda which hardly interests the Americans However the United States would love to return Donbas and Crimea to Ukraine and demonstrate that Russia has no capacity as a country with its own will It is possible that the Americans are nevertheless expecting a rise in price of oil Saudi Arabia has announced about privatization of Saudi Aramco which means that the company will be bought by the Americans possibly the British nobody else can And this means interest and increase in prices In other words the Saudis would like to sell the level of prices of oil instead of selling the company And if the price of oil goes up the sanctions will stop being crucial The synergy is obvious However this will hardly play a significant role Apparently the change of the global energy situation is not determined by one factor though the agreement is in place there is no doubt The new democratic administration will be the continuation of the present administration and a corporation of democrats is in government which demands corporate decisions Barack Obama must restore Ukraine s territorial integrity and Russia has no other chance

    Original URL path: http://m.lragir.am/index/eng/1/comments/view/35172 (2016-02-14)
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  • Turkish-Iranian Relations - Lragir.am - Armenia Online
    where the interests of Turkey and Iran are contiguous including in the South Caucasus Syria turned out to be the most actual arena of counteraction between Turkey and Iran and Syria has a strategic importance control over it means control over the Near East However the genuine struggle between Turkey and Iran is due to influence on Iraq Aside from oil reserves of global importance water and huge territories suitable for farming outstanding Islamic shrines Iraq is the stage for a complicated geopolitical game in which all the stakeholders including the United States Europe China Russia as well as leading Arab countries are trying to get involved Iran has an advantage over Iraq where over 65 of the population are Shiites including those of Iranian origin However significant groups in the population i e the Sunnites and partly Kurds are facing Turkey Apparently Iraq will become the main arena of the fight between Turkey and Iran Despite the failure of its policy of neo Ottomanism in the Near East Turkey does not give up on its goal to strengthen its influence over the region and it is looking for possibilities to achieve this goal One opportunity is partnership with Arab states opposing Iran therefore Iran s expansion is in line with Turkey s interests because the Arab states will rely on it Turkey hopes for reduced activity of the United States in the Near East in the result of which the role of major countries of the region increases In the future the geopolitical fight between Turkey and Iran will intensify which will affect the South Caucasus too Like Israel and the majority of Arab states Turkey is concerned about the perspectives of normalization of relations between the United States and Iran In Washington centers and organizations representing Turkish Israeli

    Original URL path: http://m.lragir.am/index/eng/1/comments/view/35166 (2016-02-14)
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  • On the U.S.-NATO-Europe-Turkey Relations - Lragir.am - Armenia Online
    There is no doubt that this work will continue further As a result it becomes impossible for the official structures of NATO to work out suggestions and study information and initiatives at activities to curb Turkey s ambitions its expansion in regional directions because Turkey is a member of the alliance Therefore the political decisions including in the sphere of defense which one way or another concern Turkey are undertaken by the leading countries of the Western community At present the traditional thesis that Turkey is an important NATO member and the United States and the European countries need their services are doubted It is increasingly unintelligible that the alliance will further conduct a policy in the regions of the Mediterranean Sea the Black Sea and the Near East provided the challenges occurring in the result of Turkey s claims In any conflict situation in these regions Turkey either demands help from NATO for security when it needs no special help or puts forth claims trying to strengthen its foothold in the region despite NATO s interests its efforts to stabilize the situation While the United States is still capable of keeping Turkey within the framework of what is permitted the European countries lack such possibilities they increasingly have to seek for the U S support to resolve one issue or another as they are being discussed in NATO Nevertheless France Germany and Italy in specific cases also the United Kingdom and Poland have established the practice of joint presentations on issues under discussion concerning Turkey s claims and initiatives While earlier Turkey s regional ambitions mostly worried the United States now the European countries are expressing their objections to Turkey s attempts to gain new positions with the help and support of the United States In the process of developments in Syria France and to some extent Germany and the UK supported the U S efforts not to allow the fulfillment of Turkey s attempts to strengthen its foothold in the Near East Turkey s participation in the military action in Syria was absolutely unacceptable for the European countries It technically indicated their loss of all leverages of influence on the Arab states of the Eastern part of the Mediterranean and Iraq Turkey took part in all kinds of actions and operations of the United States and its European partners in Syria but it was limited to specific operative actions NATO did not allow for the possibility of Turkey s participation in the military operation Turkey would not afford to undertake these steps without NATO s cooperation All this means that Turkey is losing its importance as a NATO and U S partner which can fulfill different roles in the Near East In regard to Turkey the European countries are facing the same issues as the United States i e keeping Turkey under control until a certain moment when the strategies of the West will be better planned and more specific In this respect the Western countries hope that

    Original URL path: http://m.lragir.am/index/eng/1/comments/view/35164 (2016-02-14)
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