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  • The Game Was Lost A Long Time Ago - Lragir.am - Armenia Online
    countries agree Of course one already has to admit that issues occur relating to the stance and claims of Turkey aside from issues linked to developments in the Arab states On the whole the Eastern Mediterranean and the South Caucasus have been included in a unified geopolitical configuration and are a bloc of regions which can be reviewed by analogy in regard to each other The relationships between Turkey and Russia are full of disagreement and are going through a period of coming to terms hence a new period of history which will be followed by a period of stable cooperation Both countries share the wish not to see other powers in these regions Being a NATO partner Armenia is unacceptable for Turkey and Russia and they have joined their efforts to prevent this One should understand well that control over Armenia is a matter of prestige and a polygon for the Russians and they intend to have crucial advantages even if they fail to sustain the dog hole called CSTO No matter how the relations between Russia and Turkey are spoilt and aggravated they will adjust their interests regarding Armenia which the Russian generals are constantly trying to present as an unnecessary object in politics Turkey also understands this While Armenia used to be viewed in the context of the Russian interests Ankara has realized that Russia is losing control over Armenia and the United States and NATO will establish control In this regard there is no doubt that Turkey will have big trouble because first of all Georgia will become less dependent on it and the role of Iran will grow in the South Caucasus However this is not the main trouble for Turkey The South Caucasus has every chance to become the east end of the Western democratic community and will thereby be used as not only a limit but also drive for penetration into a huge region in the role of an operation agent As a result not only neo ottomanism and neo pan turkism but also more zealous chauvinistic obscurantisms will die Every bloc of NATO s Euro Atlantism decides something specific and crucial in this stage and in time The South Caucasus will be involved in the firm and lasting Europe Near East diagonal in the northern direction against which Moscow is fighting so zealously Turkey is following attentively what is happening in the U S establishment and understands that soon new intellectual groups will come and the left liberal loitering of the United States may lead to sudden Europeanization of the United States In this situation the notions of partner and ally will be blurred and replaced with different definitions and formats where no place and time will be available for Turkey By the way amid the current Russian psychopathic attack this circumstance is also understood well For the Russians this means that the least time is left for the United States to accept practically on possible non ambitious conditions The Russians understand

    Original URL path: http://m.lragir.am/index/eng/1/comments/view/35121 (2016-02-14)
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  • There'll Be Clarity on Armenia's Issue In the Nearest Future - Lragir.am - Armenia Online
    not to give due attention to corruption and other anti democratic setting in Armenia which is in catastrophe and its political leadership has no idea about how this country s economy will survive Now if Armenia does not try to clarify its real goals to the West and they do not contain good expectations the political leadership of the country will lose the credit of confidence and will appear in uncertainty There is sufficient information on Armenia and there are no big problems with understanding the situation The behavior of the United States and the European Union toward Armenia reminds that of a charitable society because the country does not have any entrepreneurs capable of implementation of more or less serious economic projects and there is no vision The Americans understand that Armenia needs new elite but cannot find one The opposition is a miserable annex to the authorities and nobody in these circles is a politician The opposition had never appeared like a puppet theater to this extent 2015 became a sad culmination of ethnic nonsense Has September 3 been an ultimate achievement of this nonsense Apparently not First of all the Armenian authorities announced pompously to the entire world that this decision was an achievement for Armenia and most probably any public group would make such a decision including those who are in government now as well as those who are criticizing the government This decision became the illustration of the national face of the Armenian nation and it should be admitted publicly The Armenians are not capable of another decision Washington has an identical opinion on Armenia s prospects It is kept in mind that even if its leadership tried for several years to conduct a subsequent policy of integration with the EU and NATO despite Russia s claims one can hope for the country s readiness to continue that way It is believed that Armenia gave in to the Russian pressure and this situation may change At the same time Washington is reluctant to consider opportunities for building up on the relations with Armenia by granting it guarantees of security Armenia has never worked with the United States NATO and the EU over this matter Washington understands how sensitive this issue is because Armenia has unresolved issues in its relations with Turkey and Azerbaijan but there is the understanding that in a real situation it will have to plan the withdrawal of Armenia from Russian dominance At the same time the American experts suggest that the United States will not implement initiatives without definite proposals from different countries The current arrangement of forces in the majority of the regions is convenient for the United States and it does not need new cardinal initiatives and change of the current balance of forces The United States prefers maintaining the balance of forces and correct the situation in line with the goals set The continuation of the current situation of Armenia would be a curious case for the United

    Original URL path: http://m.lragir.am/index/eng/1/comments/view/35119 (2016-02-14)
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  • Next Armenian-Azerbaijani War in Pentagon Reports - Lragir.am - Armenia Online
    the level of the members of the alliance primarily in regard to the participation of the country s armed forces in the peacekeeping operations of the alliance The armed forces of Georgia have practically reached NATO s level are already viewed as a component of the defense potential of the alliance However it is supposed that one way or another Georgia will be accepted to NATO It is necessary that not only Russia but also France and Germany agree to this Armenia has to pass a more complicated way of development of cooperation with the EU and NATO but Armenia demonstrates commitment to these relations The West still does not understand the positions of the Armenian government because it is too naive to think that it will be able to cooperate with Russia and NATO in parallel and for a long time At some point Armenia will have to choose unfortunately Russia s relations with the West are such that it will not allow for close bilateral relations between its close partner and NATO The question on the possibility of resumption of military actions between Armenia and Azerbaijan is in fact sometimes reviewed in Pentagon in some reports of relevant divisions However as far as one of the experts we inquired from knows these reports which are drawn up every year do not consider the probability of a war between Armenia and Azerbaijan high though such prospects are not ruled out altogether because purchase of weapons of different kinds is going on It is believed that the international factors are still crucial to the possibility of start of military actions and that there is a firm agreement on this situation between the United States Russia and France Turkey s intervention in this war is ruled out and is not taken

    Original URL path: http://m.lragir.am/index/eng/1/comments/view/35118 (2016-02-14)
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  • Western Criticism Against Russia - Lragir.am - Armenia Online
    France and other countries The countries of the Baltic and Black Sea region especially Poland and the Baltic States support with pleasure every kind of criticism against Russia which of course is also related to Germany s position Unlike Germany France holds a more reserved position preferring to view the situation in the Eastern project as highly predictable Ostensibly the reserved position of France and the United Kingdom in regard to the Russian pressure are related to reluctance to strengthen Germany as a result of integration of Eastern European countries which are first of all seen as its zone of economic preferences In this case Poland s position is important which has a radical stance on Russia s policy Poland s position may have a big influence on the U S position bigger than the leading countries of Western Europe At the same time the European Union is to some extent pedaling the moods and intentions of European countries and sometimes the opinions of small countries have a disproportionately big influence on the European policy On the whole the European Union has adopted a rather determined position because the failure of Eastern Partnership will be the failure of the entire European politics The United States and the EU are consulting on this issue permanently but apparently so far these contacts have not led to the understanding of joint decisions and tasks Although the United States is trying to demonstrate a more determined stance it is not clear whether it will cheer up the European politics The U S stance on Eastern Partnership is primarily determined by its strategic and national interests in Eurasia Aside from the U S goal on the global containment of China there is a task to prevent Russia from strengthening its foothold in the regions and

    Original URL path: http://m.lragir.am/index/eng/1/comments/view/35117 (2016-02-14)
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  • Russia's Missing Turkey: First Step Taken - Lragir.am - Armenia Online
    stream Turkey and Russia which broke up after the downing of the Russian warplane are in zeitnot They have been whipping themselves since the warplane incident they take actions against each other quite well aware that despite the significant disagreement they cannot do without each other in regional politics because in that case they will inevitably find themselves under the supervision of the West s plans In order to block the entry of NATO in the region Turkey and Russia must enter into a dialogue or compete for being the first to open the gates of the Caucasus for the Euro Atlantic civilization its economic and security mechanisms The entry of these mechanists into the region is in line with Armenia s interests because they can tap a lasting and systemic wedge in the Russian Turkish centennial alliance At the same time in the context of the global technological revolutionary changes Armenia has the potential for partnership with the Euro Atlantic pole The problem is that the Russian Turkish centennial status quo with its metastases is suffocating that potential in Armenia not allowing it to open up The liberation of Artsakh the change of the status and de facto borders in the Caucasus were a breakthrough which led to a revision of the Russian Turkish status quo as well as prospects of change of the status quo of the Caucasian civilization It is not accidental that afterwards the Russian Turkish alliance intensified setting a goal to reverse the status quo in the Caucasus which was being modernized with the help of the victory in Artsakh war The warplane incident stopped the process of implementation of that goal at the same time accelerating the intention to develop international mechanisms for the protection of the status quo modernized through the victory in

    Original URL path: http://m.lragir.am/index/eng/1/comments/view/35116 (2016-02-14)
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  • Barbed Wire Fence on Freedom Square - Lragir.am - Armenia Online
    the government treacherously removed the poster but would be the first to deceive the government by removing all its posters The point is that posters slogans declarations of the opposition which are no less empty than the government s statements about achievements or prospects have become the border of the political struggle In addition the government has drawn and keeps this border The oppositions have recognized that border and on Freedom Square for example the fight at that border continues and the opposition demanding from the government a tent toilet or a poster is merely demanding not to trespass its territory Why was the methodology of Mashtots Park special It was special because the public entered the government s territory the public trespassed that territory and the government appeared in the role of defender and eventually had to give up on it In addition in this case the territory is not a physical or cadastral notion In this case the territory is first of all psychology Territory is when the society does not demand the anti constitutional government to make a decision but makes that decision and goes on to implement it And in this case the scale of the decision becomes highly unimportant the nature of methodology itself becomes important and the society moves from demands to implementation Thus the border is trespassed the government s border According to the traditional methodology any decision whether big or small is the border and territory of the government and the territory of the society is to protest and demand And whenever the public makes a decision and starts implementing it they thereby enter the territory of the government the territory of the decision maker and implementer erasing the border made of slogans posters and declarations This is the reason why the

    Original URL path: http://m.lragir.am/index/eng/1/comments/view/35115 (2016-02-14)
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  • Three Deep and Balanced Failures and Three Achievements - Lragir.am - Armenia Online
    from seizures And the money was given not out of confidence in the government The money from outside might have been more and more effective if Armenia did not have a government The next achievement for Hovik Abrahamyan is the referendum and the amended Constitution It could be an achievement for Hovik Abrahamyan because Abrahamyan was the chief of the campaign staff of the Republican Party he was in charge of the result of the referendum On the other hand this achievement is also relative provided that the referendum was distinguished for outrageous breaches and the evaluation was tough Moreover the United States threatened the people involved in electoral fraud with a sanction In this sense the second achievement is also relative for Hovik Abrahamyan especially provided that not only the Constitution changed but also Serzh Sargsyan s statement he hinted at his plans to stay after 2018 in the capacity of the prime minister Hence the result of the constitutional amendments was his achievement for Serzh Sargsyan not for himself or the country Although this achievement is the price that Hovik Abrahamyan will pay to Serzh Sargsyan for a secure retirement As a third achievement Abrahamyan mentioned deepening and balanced integration of Armenia Perhaps only Hovik Abrahamyan knows with what Armenia is integrating so deeply and balanced because the society can see something else that is deep and balanced the sinking in the Eurasian marsh and can feel its bitter taste and odor Armenia became a member of the Eurasian Union on 2 January 2015 and even the members of government confessed over the year that the membership to the Eurasian Union has not produced any benefits for Armenia Of course it didn t because something must exist to produce economic results and something that does not exist cannot

    Original URL path: http://m.lragir.am/index/eng/1/comments/view/35114 (2016-02-14)
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  • The Notion of "Security Guarantee" - Lragir.am - Armenia Online
    of the war between Armenia and Azerbaijan the position of Armenia was significantly different there were expectations of fast settlement of the problem but at the same time there was a more or less stable situation when the expectations of resuming military actions were small At the end of the 1990s the processes of implementation of projects of oil and gas production in Azerbaijan and development of political military relations between Turkey and Azerbaijan were taking place in parallel Soon these friendly countries became military allies striking official deals between them Currently a political military alliance has emerged between Turkey and Azerbaijan which played a big role in changing the arrangement of forces in the region Russia and Iran also have interests in the South Caucasus which are not in line with Turkey s interests At the same time Turkey is a NATO member but they have complicated relations with NATO and the United States This is an awkward situation for the United States and NATO but they must fulfill their commitments to Turkey On the one hand the United States and NATO are Turkey s military partners On the other hand they have an important role in containing its ambitions Theoretically the United States and NATO do not allow for a chance of intervention by Turkey in the war between Armenia and Azerbaijan and this is determined by Turkey s relations with NATO and the United States These issues are constantly between the U S Turkey relations because the United States has a key role in the negotiations with Turkey on various disputable and crisis matters The United States and NATO believe that Turkey s military intervention is impossible but do not rule out such a possibility altogether It is taken into account that Azerbaijan may suffer a disastrous

    Original URL path: http://m.lragir.am/index/eng/1/comments/view/35111 (2016-02-14)
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